Market Forecast

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Volatility is the Precursor to Correction

April 16, 2013

The fear trade is back on Wall Street. With the events of the past three days, it’s no wonder why.   The Boston Marathon bombing, and then ricin-laced letters to at least one Senator and to President Obama, would alone be enough to cause sellers to run for the exits. Then when you combine these […]

Are Mutual Funds Lumbering Dinosaurs?

April 9, 2013

I love Sunday mornings, as I get to get enjoy a little extra sleep followed by a leisurely cup of coffee while reading the weekend edition of my local papers. This Sunday, I picked up a recent hard copy (yes, I still like to hold the physical paper in my hands) of the Los Angeles […]

The Buy-and-Hold Grandfather’s Warning

April 2, 2013

When Jack Bogle speaks, the market usually stops and listens. That’s because the grandfather of buy-and-hold investing, and the founder and chairman of mutual fund stalwart Vanguard Group, is thought of as a sagacious, steady and calming voice that sooths those who want to buy stocks, and then just simply forget about them for a […]

Europe is Far from Fixed

March 26, 2013

Last year, the world was worried about Europe and whether the European Union (EU) would come to an agreement to bailout Greece. Once the European Central Bank (ECB) got its act in order and put in place policies that appeared as though they’d dealt with the region’s debt and banking issues, most investors essentially put […]

The Fed, Cyprus and China

March 19, 2013

As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve left interest rates untouched at near zero, and the FOMC announced it would continue its current bond-buying program of $85 billion per month. About the only real question on Wall Street was what the Fed would say about the economy in its statement aside from holding interest rates […]

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New Highs and the Absence of Fear

March 12, 2013

  The party on Wall Street keeps going, and going and going, kind of like that cute little pink bunny from the Energizer battery commercials. As of midday Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was on pace to close at its ninth-consecutive all-time high. That’s quite impressive, and it shows that the bulls still are […]

They Made $944 Million While You Slept

March 5, 2013

I rarely get eight hours of sleep these days, but that’s the recommended daily dosage according to the experts. If I had managed to get eight hours, I would have slept through the creation of $944 million. You see, that’s how much money the Federal Reserve prints during an eight-hour stint. This money supply growth […]

A Correction in the Works

February 26, 2013

Last Wednesday, the market suffered a big sell-off, thanks in large part to rumblings from the Federal Reserve that the punch bowl of easy money will, at some point, be taken away from Wall Street. Then on Monday, word of what’s being called a "hung parliament" after the tumultuous Italian election rocked equities here at […]

The Great Wall Street Fear Kill

February 19, 2013

  The fear is gone on Wall Street.    Apparently, there is nothing to worry about; stocks will no longer go down, and the lion will now sleep with the lamb.   I jest, of course, but if you read the financial press these days, or if you listen to the plethora of pumped-up pundits […]

Where to Next for Stocks?

February 12, 2013

The markets continue to trade painfully higher. I say painfully, because I can’t remember a time when so many traders have been so unhappy with the fact that stocks are trading at 52-week highs. I think everyone, including me, is expecting the market to make a substantive correction of at least 5%, and possibly even […]

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