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Waiting on Yellen

November 13, 2013

Over the past three weeks or so, stocks in the United States basically have been in a holding pattern. The benchmark S&P 500 Index essentially has flatlined of late. Part of the reason for that leveling off is the tentative approach traders are taking to the new Fed Chair nominee, Janet Yellen. While most observers […]

Divergence is Another Word for Opportunity

November 6, 2013

When I look at the strong gains in the domestic equity market over the past year, I tend to feel a bit ambivalent. On the one hand, this market has proven resilient to threats of all kinds, and has continued to march higher in the face of a lot of adversity. On the other hand, […]

And the Easy Money Keeps on Rolling

October 30, 2013

The Fed has spoken, and it’s more of the same from Chairman Ben Bernanke and his merry band of central bankers. The statement from today’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting was essentially the same as last month’s statement, with the Fed maintaining its current $85-billion-per-month bond buying program. No “taper” this time. Just the same, […]

The Yellen Destiny

October 23, 2013

The government shutdown and the debt ceiling are off the minds of traders, at least for another few months. Now the markets can turn to more fundamental factors such as earnings, jobs and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Well, at least that’s what many would like to think is moving the markets. What many people think, […]

It’s the Reaction, not the Details, that Matter

October 16, 2013

For more than two weeks there has been a partial shutdown of the federal government, as Republicans and Democrats in the House of Representatives, the Senate and in the White House battle over the budget and how much of our money they plan to keep borrowing and spending. This morning, there appears to be a […]

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Controlling the No Control Frustration

October 9, 2013

If you feel frustrated, perplexed and downright pissed off about the shenanigans going on in Washington, D.C., right now, then you’re not alone. The partial government shutdown, the potential fiscal damage it could have and the even more fiscally dangerous issue of the debt-ceiling are circumstances that are tough to deal with from where we […]

The Government-Dominated Market

October 1, 2013

This week’s market action has been dominated by — you guessed it — the political showdown in Washington and the government shutdown. Wednesday marks day two of the partial federal shutdown. As of this writing, both Democrat and Republican leaders are vowing not to budge in the battle to come to terms on a stop-gap […]

The Post-Fed Paralysis

September 24, 2013

Market Forecast 9/24/2013 Last week’s surprise Fed decision to hold off on any “tapering” of its $85-billion-per-month bond-buying scheme caused a lot of dislocation in the financial markets. First there was the big spike higher in stocks, bonds and gold prices immediately following the news. Then just a couple of days later there was some […]

The Fed Holds off on Tapering

September 17, 2013

Nearly everyone on Wall Street pretty much thought the Fed would do some sort of “tapering” of its current $85-billion-per-month bond buying scheme when it announced its decision on monetary policy today. Well, nearly everyone was wrong. The Fed defied most expectations today and kept its foot on the monetary gas with no alteration to […]

The Worst Month Starts off Strong

September 10, 2013

  September is, at least historically speaking, the worst month of the year for the stock market. This year, however, stocks have shaken off the immediate uncertainty generated by a potential U.S. military involvement in the Syrian civil war, as well as the pending uncertainty about the Fed’s decision on “tapering,” and the result has […]

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