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Surviving the September Scuttlebutt

September 3, 2013

Last week marked the final days of “summer,” at least in market terms. As expected, there wasn’t much market participation. Now, however, we’ve entered September, historically the worst month of the year for the stock market. This year, the September scuttlebutt is swirling with rumors, hints and speculation about all sorts of unknowns. Some of […]

War Drums Beat on Markets

August 27, 2013

The latest soundtrack in the financial markets can best be described as the beating of war drums with Syria. Since tensions in that Middle East nation have escalated to the point where U.S. military action now is almost a certainty, the price of assets such as oil, gold, Treasury bonds and equities all have been […]

The Rate Ramp and the Foreign Factor

August 20, 2013

If you harbored any doubt about the biggest story in the markets right now, then one look at the action in the Treasury bond pits (i.e. interest rates) will disabuse you of that uncertainty. Recent data on bond outflows show that investors in the United States have been dumping bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds […]

Higher Interest Rates and a 1987 Market Redux

August 14, 2013

If you want to find out what the market is really worried about, just watch the action in the bond market. This is something investors have learned over the years, and it’s why there’s a market adage that says that the bond market is smarter than the stock market. This premise seems to be particularly […]

Losing Its Momentum

August 6, 2013

Stocks managed to push higher last week, as many traders now suspect that the Federal Reserve will either keep up the pace, or only slightly alter, its bond buying program at its next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September. The “dovish” comments from the FOMC last week actually downgraded the outlook for the […]

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A Macro Data Extravaganza

July 30, 2013

Today we saw a flood of alphabet soup data, with news on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the ADP report on jobs and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Let’s take each one as a separate bite here, and see what the implications are for the markets. First, today we saw the continuation of […]

A Sideways Summer Stall?

July 24, 2013

The markets have made a decided move to the upside since late June, but during the past couple of days we’ve seen a bit of a summer stall. Trading volumes have been relatively light, and the markets now are keying on the bevy of earnings reports that have come in. So far, we’ve seen some […]

The Honey Badger Stock Market

July 16, 2013

Stocks just want to go higher, and it doesn’t matter if the Fed is going to peel back quantitative easing, or if GDP growth in the second quarter is going to be a pathetic 1%. Buyers just keep buying, and that means stocks have recovered all of what they lost during the “taper” scare in […]

Interest Rates — Up, Up and Away!

July 9, 2013

The biggest news in the market right now is the rise in long-term interest rates, i.e. the spike we’ve seen in long-term Treasury bond yields. Last Friday, interest rates, as measured by the yield on the 10-Year Treasury note, spiked to 2.71%, the highest level for this key metric in nearly two years. That spike […]

The Liquidation Cycle and Wall Street Fireworks

July 3, 2013

The saga continues in the bond markets, with the sector moving completely out of whack since the Fed’s talk about tapering its easy-money policies entered the global investing consciousness. Recall that in last week’s Making Money Alert, we discussed the liquidation cycle in global equities, emerging markets and Treasury bonds. This week, I thought it […]

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