Market Forecast

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The S&P 500 Hasn’t Reached Escape Velocity Yet

November 28, 2012

  A week has passed since our last Alert, and there really hasn’t been much of a change in what has been the dominant factor in the markets — and that is the fiscal cliff. By now, you are probably sick of the whole fiscal cliff thing. I know I certainly am. But despite the […]

Concentrate on the Fiscal Cliff and Miss the Real Danger

November 21, 2012

  The markets have been obsessed with fiscal-cliff worries ever since the election. While I understand why the resolution of this potential $600 billion erasure from 2013 GDP is rightly a giant concern, it’s by no means the only thing markets need to be fearful of right now.   In fact, the recent myopia over […]

Of Fiscal Cliffs and European Protests

November 14, 2012

  Now that the election is over, the markets decided to extricate themselves from the tunnel vision about who will run the government, and widen their sights to see what threats our money faces next. Well, it didn’t take too long to figure out that the number one issue facing the markets is the “fiscal […]

The Presidential Election Aftermath

November 7, 2012

  The people have spoken, and it is going to be four more years for President Obama. The Congress remains divided, with Democrats in control of the Senate and Republicans in control of the House.   As we’ve seen in today’s trading, the markets don’t seem too pleased with the outcome of last night’s vote. […]

Superstorm, Super Election

October 31, 2012

  It’s been a rough go of it for the entire country over the past several days, and though the worst of “Superstorm Sandy” is over for most, the cleanup and restoration of the damage is just beginning. I first want to extend all of my wishes to the victims of this devastating tragedy, and […]

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How to Lose $500 Billion in Three Days

October 24, 2012

Quick question: How do you lose $500 billion in market value in just three days? Well, the answer is you have a plethora of high-profile industrial giants either missing top- and bottom-line earnings estimates, and/or offering up disappointing guidance for Q4 and beyond.   The bevy of earnings bombs since Friday from the likes of […]

The Tech Tempest in the Teapot

October 17, 2012

  Over the past couple of trading days, there have been a lot of fireworks in the equity markets. There also have been a lot of fireworks on the political front, as last night’s presidential debate was replete with head-to-head, and extremely aggressive, action by both combatants. We now are less than three weeks away […]

How to Cope with Slower Global Growth

October 10, 2012

The global economy is slowing. That’s according to the latest report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF cut its global growth forecast for 2012 to 3.3% from 3.5%. It also said that global growth was likely to continue slowing in 2013.   Well, I doubt that this news is any revelation to anyone […]

All Eyes on the Election, Earnings

October 3, 2012

The market still is digesting two of the biggest developments of the year, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rescue plan for ailing EU nations, and the Federal Reserve’s pledge of “QE Forever,” an attempt to try and stimulate job growth, keep mortgage rates down and thus juice up the economy. This central bank-dependent milieu for […]

Where Did the Post QE Bounce Go?

September 26, 2012

Stocks sold off sharply in Tuesday’s trading session, with the Dow sinking more than 100 points. The decline was the single-biggest, one-day slide since late June. Moreover, stocks now have fallen four straight sessions. Midway through today’s session, stocks were on pace to log yet another loss.   So, the logical question here is — […]

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