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Market Forecast

The Three Bears Have Arrived

August 21, 2015

There’s no Goldilocks in the markets right now. There are only the three bears — and those bears are growling with ferocity. Although not technically in a bear market in terms of percentage off the recent high, my benchmark for what I consider a market trouncing into bear territory is the 200-day moving average. This […]

The Truth about Currency Manipulators

August 14, 2015

The big news rocking global markets early this week was China and its surprise move to devalue its currency not once, but twice in two days. Although markets have largely settled down during the past couple of trading days, the early-week selling in both domestic and international markets was a direct result of the near-5% […]

The Caution of Commodities

July 31, 2015

One of the most startling charts I’ve seen in a long time is the DB Commodities Tracking Index Fund (DBC). This is the widely followed benchmark index of the commodities space, and it includes the metals, grains, oil, soybeans and sugar. The broad-based nature of DBC means it’s a great way to get a handle […]

A Weak Week in Equities

July 24, 2015

Stocks faltered this week, as the S&P 500 slumped about 1.6% (through midday Friday). The weak week was a far cry from where stocks stood seven days ago, when the S&P 500 enjoyed a 2.4% surge. After vaulting to new highs last Friday, I was expecting stocks to give back and consolidate. What I wasn’t […]

Right Back to Y2K Highs

July 17, 2015

Greetings from the San Francisco MoneyShow! Long-time readers will likely know how fond I am of this great city, as well as how much I enjoy my face-to-face interaction with investors here at the MoneyShow. As I write today’s Weekly ETF Report, I am just about to hold my first MoneyShow workshop. Yet before I […]

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Everything with a Yield is in Trouble

July 10, 2015

There was a whole lot of crazy in the markets this week. From Greece to China to the corner of Wall St. and Broad St., things were indeed wild. Greece’s bailout woes, China’s stock market plunge and a computer outage on the trading floor of the NYSE all contributed to the strange week. Yet, by […]

A Q2 ETF Roundup

July 2, 2015

The first half of the year is already over. Yes, I know it feels like we just kicked off 2015, but this weekend we celebrate our nation’s birthday. To me, the July 4th holiday represents the unofficial break before we get back to business in the second half of the year. So, how did things […]

The ‘Big 3’ ETF Segment Divergence

June 26, 2015

We are just days away from 2015’s halftime, and that’s a good excuse for us to take a look at how what I call the “Big 3” exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have performed this year. The Big 3 are the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) and the iShares MSCI […]

Why Currency-Hedged ETFs are All the Rage

June 19, 2015

If you’re an exchange-traded fund (ETF) investor like me, then you are always looking for trends that can make you money. One component of that search for the hottest ETF trends is to “follow the money.” Lately, when we do a check of money flows out of, and into, various ETF segments, we see a […]

China’s Deferrals, S&P’s Sideways Drift and Yields Climb

June 12, 2015

In last week’s issue, I wrote about the pending tailwind in China’s A-shares market, as the world awaited the decision by MSCI on whether they were going to include China A-shares in their emerging market index. MSCI Inc., whose MSCI Emerging Markets Index is the most widely tracked benchmark of share-price performance outside the developed […]

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