Market Forecast

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Your Q1 ETF Scorecard

April 2, 2014

The first quarter of 2014 is history, and now it’s time to do a little review of the various sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to show how the market performed over the past three volatile months. The first thing to note when looking at the performance table below of representative sector ETFs is that there was […]

China and Emerging Markets: The Quiet Rebound

March 26, 2014

The first quarter of 2014 is almost in the books, and so far things have been a lot tougher in the markets than the previous two years. For example, year to date through March 25, the S&P 500 is up about 1.8%. Last year, the index was up nearly 6% through the first three months. […]

Does the Fed Want a Correction?

March 19, 2014

The big news today comes directly from the Federal Reserve. As most of us expected, the Fed announced today that it was tapering its bond-buying program by $10 billion per month, down to asset purchases of just $55 billion per month. The move is part of the Fed’s commitment to turn down the money printing […]

Will There Be a Spillover Effect?

March 12, 2014

Given all of the geopolitical turmoil of late that’s rocked many of the biggest emerging markets in the world, it’s logical to ask ourselves if there will be a spillover effect — some call it “contagion” — here in the U.S. equity markets. During the past month, stocks in the S&P 500 have maintained their […]

Stocks Spike Back to the Front

March 5, 2014

A huge down month for stocks in January was followed by a big rebound in February, and now it’s March, and the first two trading days of the month were reminiscent of the first two months. Equities got slammed on Monday after tensions flared up in the Ukraine. Then on Tuesday, the market rebounded mightily […]

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A Welcome Calm

February 26, 2014

The financial markets have been relatively calm during the past week or so. Even though stocks in the S&P 500 Index broke out to new highs intraday on Monday, there hasn’t been much real trading volume pushing the market in either direction. So far in 2014, the broad-based measure of large-cap domestic stocks is just […]

Behold the Commodities Bounce

February 19, 2014

After a long downtrend in the commodities market, a big bounce is underway. Recall that in last week’s Making Money Alert, I wrote about the gains in gold and gold mining stocks. Those gains really have ramped up since that mention, but it’s not just the precious metals’ segment that has been enjoying a bounce […]

A Dovish Yellen and a Dovish Congress Drive Stocks Higher

February 12, 2014

On Tuesday, the equity markets enjoyed one of their best days of the year, with big buying in the broad market that sent the S&P 500 back above its 50-day moving average. The benchmark measure of the domestic equity market really started to take off around 11 a.m. EST. Why? Well, that’s when Fed Chairman […]

The Dow Cracks Critical Support Level

February 5, 2014

If you still harbor doubt that the correction in the equity markets now is underway, then all you have to do is check out a price chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Monday’s steep 300-plus point drop in the Dow sent the most widely watched measure of the equity market plunging below its long-term […]

You Are ‘Correct’ Sir

January 29, 2014

Remember last month when the chatter on Wall Street was dominated by the perma-bulls telling everyone what a great year 2014 was going to be? I certainly remember this talk, but so far in 2014 the bulls have been anything but present. Last week, stocks in the S&P 500 Index suffering their worst weekly performance […]

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