Market Forecast

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Could This Be the Beginning of Good Trade Location?

January 13, 2010

In last week’s Alert, we introduced the concept of “trade location,” a term that simply refers to establishing a good entry point for any equity position you enter. Well, Tuesday’s pullback in the markets could be the first signal that we now are approaching a good trade location in the broader equity markets. Let’s review […]

2010 Investment Strategies — Why Not Give Me a Call?

January 6, 2010

Join me this Saturday, Jan. 9, 12:00 pm (noon) Pacific, for my first investor teleconference of the year. I will be discussing the investment landscape for 2010, and I’ll be reviewing several of the investment themes for 2010 that we’ve been talking about in the Alert for the past several weeks. I believe 2010 will […]

Happy New Year, Happy New Decade

December 30, 2009

I want to start this final Alert of the year with a few thoughts on the market of 2009, as well as a few thoughts on the market as we head into a new decade. If we stop and think about where we are at the end of 2009 compared to where we were at […]

A Happy Holiday Stop-Loss Reminder

December 23, 2009

Although we’ve seen some push and shove during the last several weeks in stocks, looking at this market through a 52-week lens really tells the story of a bull on the loose since early March. The chart here of the S&P 500 is unequivocal — 2009 was a most-outstanding year for stocks. If you were […]

Come on up for the Rising

December 16, 2009

Come on up for the rising Come on up, lay your hands in mine… –Bruce Springsteen, “The Rising” I’ve been writing a lot lately about the prospect of rising interest rates (i.e., falling bond prices and rising bond yields) in my investment advisory services. The reason why is because rising interest rates will affect so […]

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The Little Index That Could

December 16, 2009

We’ve been dancing around the 1,100 mark on the S&P 500 for about the past five weeks, but every time we get a little too far above this level, stocks seem to bleed back toward the 1,100 support line. As the year comes to an end, it will be interesting to see if “the little […]

Just Stop Teasing Me

December 2, 2009

Let’s start off this week’s Alert with a quick glance at a chart of the S&P 500 Index for the past two months. As you can see, we’ve basically been mired in a trading range between 1,030 and 1,110 throughout this entire time. It’s as if the market was just teasing us here, tempting us […]

A Year-End Rally?

November 25, 2009

This time of year, we normally can count on the market being in full-rally mode. There is a term that I use in my book "Maverick Investing" to describe this time of year. I call it the growth season, and it’s from Nov. 1 through April 30. Historically, this is the time when the market […]

Punching a Hole in the Ceiling

November 18, 2009

The key metric in the market since last week has been the breaching of the psychologically and technically significant 1,100 mark on the S&P 500 Index. The index managed to punch a hole in this ceiling on its way to a new, 52-week high. As you can see by the chart below of SPX, this […]

Of Large Caps and Small Caps

November 11, 2009

  This market once again has proven that it’s in full bull mode, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting yet another 52-week high. To say that this has been an impressive run higher since we hit the March lows would be the understatement of the year. A better way to describe this market recovery […]

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