Market Forecast

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Nearly 90 Days in the Hole

July 21, 2010

When I was a kid, there was a popular song titled, “30 Days in the Hole,” by the rock band Humble Pie. Well, when looking at this market, I got to thinking about that song. That’s because stocks have been in the hole for sometime now. In fact, by my calculations, it’s been nearly 90 […]

Fabian Teleseminar: Mid-Year Review and Market Outlook 7/14/2010

July 14, 2010

Last Saturday, we held a FREE teleseminar covering the rapidly changing 2010 financial markets. The teleseminar, titled “Mid-Year Review and Market Outlook,” dealt with how you should position your portfolio for what promises to be a tumultuous second half of 2010. As you’ve likely noticed, things are very volatile in the stock market. We saw […]

The Contrarian Wisdom of the Herd

July 14, 2010

We told you last week about the “black cross,” and the danger that this technical signal poses for stocks going forward. Recall that a black cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (blue line) falls below the 200-day moving average (red line) (see chart below). This usually bearish signal occurred last week, and most market […]

Is It Time for Gold?

July 7, 2010

Gold has been on a decided uptrend since mid-April, in direct opposition to the trend in the equity markets. It makes sense, as gold usually is seen as a safe haven against tumult in equities. Gold also is seen as a good investment when the value of the U.S. dollar declines, although the latest run […]

The Technicals Turn Black

July 7, 2010

The overwhelming bias in both the domestic and international equity markets right now is to the downside. Sure, there have been a few nice up days over the past three weeks, but those short spurts of buying have been upstaged by the wider bearish trend. The overall downward slide in stocks since mid-June now has […]

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Fabian Teleseminar: Mid-Year Review and Market Outlook

June 30, 2010

Join me Saturday, July 10, at 12:00 p.m. (noon) Pacific Standard Time, for a FREE discussion of the rapidly changing 2010 financial markets. In this teleseminar, “Mid-Year Review and Market Outlook,” I will be speaking about how you should position your portfolio for what promises to be a tumultuous second half of 2010. As you’ve […]

The Sell-Off and the Magic 1040 Line

June 30, 2010

Tuesday’s big equity sell-off has a lot of market observers very worried about the future of stocks. I’ve heard a lot of chatter in the financial media about the “head-and-shoulders top” chart pattern on the S&P 500. According to StockCharts.com, a head-and-shoulders top pattern forms after an uptrend, and its completion marks a trend reversal. […]

Digesting the Data

June 23, 2010

Equities currently are in what I call “digestion mode.” After the big May sell-off, stocks have made a valiant comeback in June. That comeback now seems to have stalled, and one big reason is that there’s been a bevy of news suggesting trouble on the economic horizon. Recent home sales data failed mightily to meet […]

A Radio Show Update 6-16-10

June 16, 2010

If you missed last Saturday’s radio show, you missed a really great discussion on multiple subjects. Among the topics discussed were: •    Why investors are choosing the United States over BRIC countries. •    Why our $13-trillion debt soon will overtake GDP. •    Warren Buffett’s warning to municipal bond investors. •    Seven reasons why you should […]

Seven Reasons to be Very Cautious

June 16, 2010

You know that famous song by The Who, “Won’t Get Fooled Again”? That’s the kind of attitude I recommend when approaching this market. Simply put, there still are many reasons to be über-cautious with your money. In fact, I’ve identified what I think are the top seven reasons to be very cautious right now, and […]

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