Economic Outlook

Found 173 Articles.

An Income Tax Fact Check

September 21, 2011

There’s been a whole lot of buzz generated by President Obama’s latest proposal to make sure the rich pay their “fair share” of the nation’s tax burden. Forget the fact that the administration never tells us how much of our money it thinks is “fair” for us to keep, the real issue here is that […]

Is the Fed out of Bullets?

September 14, 2011

Now that the Federal Reserve has committed to keeping interest rates at rock-bottom levels well into 2013, many pundits have been saying that the central bank essentially is out of bullets when it comes to giving the economy a shot. And while there might not be another bond-buying plan like the quantitative-easing part II, QE2, […]

A Big Risk to your Financial Future: Politicians

September 7, 2011

 If you’re anything like the majority of Americans and me, you’ve just about had it with the inept political leadership in Washington. To say that these men and women are worthless would be a bit too complimentary in my view. According to a recent Gallop poll, just 13% of Americans approve of the job our […]

Top 10 Reasons to be Cautious

August 31, 2011

There are a lot of reasons to be tentative right now with respect to this market, so I thought I’d make you a shorthand list of what I think are the top 10 reasons to be cautious. Your own order may differ from mine, but the order isn’t as important as the fact that all […]

The Golden Boy Squashes the Spider

August 24, 2011

The price of gold is up about 30% since the beginning of the year, and the shine in the value of the yellow metal now has made the SPDR Gold (GLD) the largest exchange-traded fund (ETF) on the block. This Golden Boy officially squashed the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF, commonly known as the Spiders, […]

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The Herd Never Changes its Spots

August 17, 2011

On Tuesday, I attended an investment conference sponsored by Fidelity Investments intended specifically for financial advisors and money managers. There were several good presentations, including one from the very smart guys at Pimco. But the real takeaway for me from this conference wasn’t any single good idea. Rather, it was the chorus of trite bromides […]

Fabian History Repeats Itself

August 10, 2011

The Fabian philosophy has born many a great market call over the years. To give you a little sense of how good these calls have been, I’d like to share with you a short list of what my family calls — great moments in Fabian history.   July 1981: The Fabian Plan issues a bear-market […]

Lighting a Golden Candle

August 3, 2011

The fear factor in the global markets is intensifying, and what asset class usually gets a lot of love when the fear meter is pegged to the max? You guessed it, gold. On Tuesday, gold prices hit a new all-time high, as money moved out of equities and into the yellow metal. As you can […]

A Gross Prediction

August 3, 2011

“We’re not looking at a recession yet, but we’re at a tipping point,” said Bill Gross of Pimco. The manager of the world’s biggest bond fund told Bloomberg Television yesterday that, “We’re at what we call a stall speed in which corporate profits don’t grow, jobs aren’t created,” said Gross. That’s not a very good […]

Debt Deals and Market Wheels

July 20, 2011

A deal on lifting the debt ceiling is getting close, and though the details have yet to be worked through, we are approaching the removal of a potential default from the list of worries the markets face right now. As I’ve told you in recent weeks, I always thought that there would be a deal […]

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