Market Forecast

This Is Not Your Father’s Bear Market

The commodity boom certainly is enticing aggressive investors. In last week’s ETF Talk, we discussed commodity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that tracked an individual commodity, such as gold, silver or oil. These ETFs in recent months have outperformed the market to generate positive returns […]

Breakout of Market Blip?

There is no denying that stocks are back on the move, and during the past several days the equity markets have rallied in the face of some really bad news

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Of Bonds and Bears

If you’ve been an Alert reader for more than just a couple of weeks, you know that I’ve been saying we are in a bear market. In fact, ever since the proverbial line in the sand at about 1410 on the S&P 500 was breached, we’ve seen several attempts to get back above that territory — yet all such attempts have failed.

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Market Retest: Pass of Fail?

Some pundits are saying we are in a recession; others call it a mere economic slowdown. The answer, in my opinion, is: what difference does this technical distinction make to you

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State of the Union, State of the Markets

It’s now official. The Federal Reserve just slashed interest rates again — this time by 50 basis points. Combine today’s rate cut with last week’s surprise, 75-basis-point cut and you have the fastest decline in interest rates in years […]

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Newtonian Market Theory

While I do not think most money market fund owners have a major reason to panic right now, I do think that if you have a substantial amount of your portfolio in a money market fund you simply MUST be prepared to take action in the event that your money market fund melts down and begins trading under $1. […]

Is Your Money Market Fund Safe?

While I do not think most money market fund owners have a major reason to panic right now, I do think that if you have a substantial amount of your portfolio in a money market fund you simply MUST be prepared to take action in the event that your money market fund melts down and begins trading under $1.

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Is This Rally for Real?

Stocks have put in an impressive advance during the past two trading sessions, rising almost 4% after what has been one of the worst November performances on record. The big question now: Is this the beginning of the traditional year-end "Santa Claus"rally?

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A Thanksgiving Bear?

Well, things didn’t quite play out to the usual script this season. The lows this year took place in August, and that lull was followed by a 10% rally to new highs. We then suffered through an 8% decline in stocks, and that was after two Fed rate cuts. This is almost an unheard of scenario on Wall Street

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Financials, Housing Rain Down On Market

During the past 90 days, we have experienced unprecedented volatility in the financial markets. Interest rates, bonds, stocks and currencies have fluctuated wildly for one reason and one reason only — investor uncertainty […]